Realistic versus Blind Optimism

William Liao
2 min readJul 3, 2023

Optimism. It’s the fuel that propels us, the wind in our sails. But like the wind, it can either carry us to shore or, unchecked, blow us off course. This begs the question: are we navigating with a compass of Realistic Optimism or are we adrift on the high seas of Blind Optimism?

Picture Blind Optimism as a blithe explorer, setting sail without a map or compass, expecting calm seas because, well, “Why not?” The journey’s allure blinds them to potential storms and rocky shoals. This isn’t an expedition — it’s a fantasy. Their optimistic expectation, though charming, doesn’t account for the reality of the voyage. When the first wave hits, they’re unprepared and risk capsizing.

Now, imagine Realistic Optimism. Our explorer sets sail again, but this time, they have a map. They acknowledge the possibility of storms. They’re prepared. The voyage is still riddled with unknowns, but they’ve got a better chance of weathering the storm.

The difference? Preparation.

Blind Optimism is a whimsical journey with no anchor in reality, while Realistic Optimism is a hopeful voyage anchored by awareness of what lies beneath the surface. It’s a balancing act between “anything’s possible” and “let’s prepare for what’s probable.”

Why does this matter?

Every day, we embark on voyages — launching a business, starting a project, building relationships. A dose of optimism, if not administered correctly, can lead to unrealistic expectations, ill-preparedness, and disappointment.

So ask yourself: Are you setting sail with a blindfold, or are you charting your course with an informed optimism? Are you hoping for the best without considering the probable?

The difference between a castaway and a navigator isn’t just optimism — it’s the realism they mix into it. Consider this as you set sail on your next adventure. Because it’s not just about the destination, but how well we navigate the journey.

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William Liao
William Liao

Written by William Liao

Taiwanese American, daily blogger of ideas about impactful work in service of others, photographer (ephemera.photography)

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